Principals of Finance and Statistics
On the completion of this course students should have gained the following competences:
An understanding of the nature of modern money, credit and debt.
An understanding of how monetary policy works and the role of both the central bank and commercial banks in money creation and destruction.
An overall picture and understanding of the investment industry
An understanding of the nature of the different asset choices facing investors
An understanding of the main theories of portfolio construction and the empirical record of different investment strategies
An understanding of the main methods of valuation and the ability to participate in debates about market pricing and trends.
Hands-on experience of constructing investment portfolios and designing and executing investment strategies (using online simulation).
An ability to make sound investment decisions in the real world.
The basic knowledge to assess how technological innovation might affect money, banking and investment in the future
Introduction.
Portfolio setup
How, where and in what to invest
Real versus financial assets
Exchange -traded funds (ETFs)
Financial markets and trading costs
The historical record of returns and volatility
International diversification and exchange rates
Money: measurement, creation and destruction
Defining money
Measuring the quantity of money
Growth in the quantity of money
The role of commercial banks in money creation and destruction
The central banks balance sheet
Commercial banks balance sheets (aggregated)
Monetary Policy: interest rates and quantitative easing
The role of reserves at the central bank
Interest rate policy
Quantitative easing and tightening
Monetary policy and the banking system, stability and regulation
Exogenous versus endogenous money
The fractional reserve system and money multiplier
Banking liquidity, solvency and capital (equity)
Money and economic growth, inflation and deflation, interest rates
Quantity theory
Velocity of money
Liquidity traps
The interest rate: loanable funds versus Keynesian view
Financial Innovation and money
Cryptocurrencies
Central bank digital money and payment system
The future of cash
Financial markets
Linking global liquidity, yield curves and equity prices
Valuation review
Stocks, bonds and bills
Derivatives
Financial markets
Risk and Return
Probability distributions
The standard deviation as a measure of risk
The historical record of returns and volatility
International diversification and exchange rates
Modern portfolio theory
Risky and risk-free portfolios
The capital allocation line
The efficient frontier and the optimal risky portfolio
Idiosyncratic versus systematic risk
Passive versus active investment
Beta and CAPM
The efficient market hypothesis and stock market prediction
Portfolio work and presentations
The course will combine lectures with discussion- and projected-based learning. I will distribute lecture notes and readings each week. There will be no required textbook.
The readings will include articles from financial newspapers, magazines or online media, including relevant blogs of interest. Students should be ready to discuss in class the issues raised in these articles.
We shall also create working groups to design an investment strategy and build virtual investment portfolios, thereby providing students with an opportunity to get some hands-on experience with investment decision-making, implementation and outcomes.
Attendance & participation 10%
Mid-term exam 30%
Course Project 1 Investment simulation 15%
Course Project 2 Investment strategy 15%
Final exam 30%
Reference Textbooks
Frederic S. Mishkin, The Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Pearson.
Zvi Bodie, Alex Kane and Alan J. Marcus, Essentials of Investments, McGraw-Hill.
Further selected readings, mainly from financial newspapers, magazines and blogs will be distributed during the course.